$61.4M
Regulatory and environmental legal spend YTD · 212 matters
$60.1M
Modeled portfolio forecast · $1.3M below current
14.2 mo
Median time to grant, major permits · plan 12 mo
$2.6M
Expected saving from modeled firm reallocation
Regulatory portfolio
Comparable set: major permits, same regulator and permit class, last 48 months (n=58). Time to grant includes regulator-driven delay, which is excluded from firm scoring.| Program | Jurisdiction | Matters | Budget | Spent | Forecast | Lead firm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulf Coast LNG expansion FERC + state air permits · 3 filings | US (TX) | 3 | $4.2M | $3.1M | $4.9M | Firm T | +17% · comment period extended |
| North Sea decommissioning OPRED approvals · 11 assets | UK | 11 | $6.8M | $4.0M | $6.6M | Firm U | On plan |
| Angola Block 31 compliance Local-content and environmental filings; local counsel at cost | Angola | 9 | $2.1M | $1.9M | $2.8M | Firm X + local | Local counsel markup flagged |
| Australian offshore wind Feasibility licences · 2 zones | AU | 4 | $1.8M | $0.6M | $1.7M | Firm V | On plan |
| Carbon capture permits Class VI wells · 6 sites | US (LA, TX) | 6 | $3.6M | $1.2M | $3.4M | Firm T | Staged |
| Other regulatory (179) | 179 | $44M | $31M | $43M | On plan |
Model a decision; protect the deadline
Do not score firms on regulator delay. Time to grant is decomposed into firm-controlled (filing quality, response time) and regulator-controlled components; only the first enters firm ranking. Permit deadlines stay under the asset team's control.
Asset team sign-offPendingHSE and regulatory sign-offPendingFirms notifiedNoneNext deadline at riskFERC supplemental filing · 21 Nov
Value categories kept distinct
Firm reallocation is expected cost difference (recognized on grant); local-counsel-at-cost enforcement is an invoice reduction, realized; staged filings are deferred capacity. They are never summed.
Firm value by permit class
State air permits: Firm W averages $212K per permit at 11 months; Firm T $298K at 14 months, same approval rate. Shifting the class saves an estimated $0.9M over the next filing cohort.
Fixed-fee opportunity
Routine environmental compliance filings: 144 units, coefficient of variation 0.21. Suggested fixed fee $18K (p60) with an uplift for contested comment periods.