$54.0M
Approved budget
$58.1M
Current expected annual cost · 2,060 families × $28.2K expected annual cost
—
modeled
—
Unresolved gap after modeled actions
Why the plan changed
Variance decomposed from matter-level data; volume forecast from Anaqua| Driver | Contribution | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Original plan · 1,800 families × $30,000 | $54.0M | |
| Filing volume · 260 extra families × $11,000 Pipeline-driven; GLP-1 and oncology programs | +$2.86M | |
| Jurisdictions per family · 2,060 × $240 12.4 vs 11.1 planned | +$494K | |
| Office-action count · 2,060 × $210 AU 1600 OAs per grant up to 2.9 | +$433K | |
| Renewals and FX JPY/EUR annuities | +$313K | |
| Expected annual cost | $58.1M |
Management implication. Filing volume explains $2.9M of the $4.1M and is a business decision, not a legal one. Fee pressure on firms addresses under $0.5M. Prune renewals with no business relevance, reallocate AU 1600 work by OA count, and fund the volume.
Model available actions
Overlaps removed before totals · tick to test$900K
$1.1M
$700K
$400K
Selected actions—Overlapping benefit removed—Net modeled reduction—Unresolved gap to fund or accept—
These are assumptions to test. Provider capacity, matter quality and exceptions can change the result; each action becomes a decision record with an owner, a baseline and a follow-up date once saved.
Forecast range before actions: $55.2M–$61.9M (p10–p90 from pipeline and OA-count simulation; not a point estimate)